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Red101
1034928.5
634423.9
973514.4
Blue118
440537.4
877417.3
722029.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7495050150101118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave6
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points24
18Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +7
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
67Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
101Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.51.4
27.428.8
Auto4.2
Teleop20.6
End3.6
blue by 9.0
37.41.6
36.938.5
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.9
Second
6344
#13
23.91.0
19.620.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End7.0
blue by 5.9
29.81.6
28.430.0
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End0.8
Third
9735
#29
14.41.4
15.617.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 2.8
8774
#16
17.31.1
15.116.2
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned