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Red90
523918.9
5144.3
817929.2
Blue34
526313.1
24016.4
829717.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1105001001509034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+50Endgame
+56Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +42
14Coral scored#6
52Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
66Total teleop24
Reef
7L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
6Foul points0
90Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#7
44.30.5
42.542.0
Auto6.2
Teleop32.0
End6.1
red by 27.3
8297
#19
17.01.1
20.018.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Second
8179
#27
29.20.5
26.325.8
Auto3.1
Teleop24.5
End1.5
red by 12.8
240
#31
16.41.2
14.113.0
Auto2.4
Teleop11.7
End2.3
Third
5239
#21
18.90.5
20.820.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
red by 5.8
5263
#39
13.11.1
12.010.9
Auto1.3
Teleop9.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed