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Red105
1034928.5
722029.8
837328.3
Blue100
6637.3
877417.3
918221.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218050100150200105100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
19Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#18
58Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
84Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
105Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.3
30.029.7
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End0.8
blue by 7.5
66
#18
37.30.9
30.931.8
Auto6.8
Teleop27.5
End3.0
Second
28.50.3
28.828.5
Auto4.2
Teleop20.6
End3.6
red by 7.3
9182
#34
21.20.9
22.123.0
Auto5.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
Third
8373
#28
28.30.3
33.032.7
Auto5.4
Teleop20.4
End2.4
red by 11.0
8774
#16
17.30.9
16.217.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed