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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747240506080901001104280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+20
Endgame+32
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
29Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#2
2L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points6
42Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6566
#26
25.52.1
20.418.3
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5
blue by 11.3
3641
#10
36.80.0
39.039.0
Auto7.2
Teleop24.4
End5.2
Second
5567
#15
23.92.8
28.725.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End7.1
red by 8.9
6538
#32
15.00.0
10.610.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End4.9
Third
6057
#40
9.22.8
12.49.6
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
blue by 2.5
3773
#35
11.70.0
14.414.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned