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Red98
661843.4
973514.4
766018.4
Blue104
86257.4
413024.3
553117.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9611640608014016018020098104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +7
18Coral scored#13
64Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
78Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#8
8L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
98Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#12
43.40.3
39.940.3
Auto8.1
Teleop33.6
End1.8
blue by 13.9
862
#1
57.40.3
52.852.5
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End8.4
Second
7660
#33
18.40.3
22.022.4
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End3.0
blue by 5.9
4130
#25
24.30.4
24.023.7
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End2.9
Third
9735
#29
14.40.5
17.017.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 3.2
5531
#37
17.60.4
17.116.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned