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Red86
569520.1
661551.3
440537.4
Blue76
722029.8
817929.2
24016.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12775501001502008676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
0Processor points6
12Net points20
12Algae points26
63Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
86Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#17
51.31.9
47.145.1
Auto8.5
Teleop41.1
End1.7
red by 21.5
29.80.6
29.730.3
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End0.8
Second
37.41.8
37.735.9
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.9
red by 8.2
8179
#27
29.20.6
25.826.4
Auto3.1
Teleop24.5
End1.5
Third
20.11.8
23.221.4
Auto3.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
red by 3.7
240
#31
16.40.7
13.013.6
Auto2.4
Teleop11.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed