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Red116
555522.6
549824.9
656625.5
Blue73
523918.9
473722.0
837328.3
22%Model gave it78%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6694020408012014016011673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+45Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +48
21Coral scored#9
76Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
102Total teleop54
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#2
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
116Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6566
#26
25.52.1
18.320.4
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5
blue by 2.8
8373
#28
28.31.6
32.731.1
Auto5.4
Teleop20.4
End2.4
Second
5498
#20
24.92.1
21.323.3
Auto3.7
Teleop20.7
End0.4
red by 2.9
4737
#36
22.01.6
21.519.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.6
Third
5555
#24
22.62.5
18.621.1
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.4
red by 3.7
5239
#21
18.91.6
20.318.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed