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Red102
86257.4
526313.1
1034928.5
Blue45
377311.7
766018.4
556723.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120715010015010245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+67Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +60
15Coral scored#3
53Coral points9
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
73Total teleop13
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#1
4L2#0
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
102Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#1
57.40.5
52.553.0
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End8.4
red by 33.5
5567
#15
23.91.7
25.924.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End7.1
Second
28.50.6
28.529.1
Auto4.2
Teleop20.6
End3.6
red by 10.1
7660
#33
18.41.4
22.421.0
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End3.0
Third
5263
#39
13.10.6
10.911.5
Auto1.3
Teleop9.2
End2.6
red by 1.4
3773
#35
11.71.7
14.412.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned