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Red158
5144.3
776961.3
553117.6
Blue128
653815.0
477933.8
634423.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1406750100150200158128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +26
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points49
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#4
12Processor points18
32Net points16
44Algae points34
109Total teleop83
Reef
9L4#8
4L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
158Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.31.4
56.758.1
Auto13.1
Teleop37.6
End10.6
red by 27.5
4779
#23
33.82.8
29.432.2
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End4.8
Second
51
#7
44.31.7
42.043.7
Auto6.2
Teleop32.0
End6.1
red by 20.3
6344
#13
23.92.8
22.325.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End7.0
Third
5531
#37
17.61.7
16.718.4
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End1.7
red by 2.7
6538
#32
15.02.8
10.513.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned