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Red159
24749.2
652828.8
413024.3
Blue67
60579.2
364136.8
877417.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127305010015015967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+70Teleop
+74Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +63
22Coral scored#8
79Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
111Total teleop48
Reef
13L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
18Foul points0
159Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#4
49.21.3
44.245.5
Auto6.0
Teleop35.1
End8.1
red by 12.4
3641
#10
36.82.1
39.036.9
Auto7.2
Teleop24.4
End5.2
Second
28.81.3
25.727.0
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End5.0
red by 11.5
8774
#16
17.31.8
17.115.3
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Third
4130
#25
24.31.5
23.725.2
Auto5.2
Teleop16.2
End2.9
red by 15.1
6057
#40
9.22.1
9.67.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed