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Red44
918221.2
829717.0
973514.4
Blue55
921210.8
812412.0
516722.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67562040801001204455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+5Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
15Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +3
6Coral scored#5
21Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
27Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points12
44Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9182
#34
21.21.8
23.021.2
Auto5.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
blue by 1.6
5167
#11
22.81.1
22.321.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Second
8297
#19
17.02.2
18.916.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.6
red by 5.0
8124
#22
12.01.3
14.313.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End2.5
Third
9735
#29
14.42.2
17.515.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End2.5
red by 3.6
9212
#38
10.81.3
11.910.6
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed