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Red124
661843.4
440537.4
24016.4
Blue53
872828.4
837328.3
766018.4
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104100608012014012453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+59Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +49
14Coral scored#8
51Coral points28
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
18Processor points0
20Net points12
38Algae points12
89Total teleop40
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
124Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#12
43.42.3
40.342.6
Auto8.1
Teleop33.6
End1.8
red by 15.0
8728
#14
28.42.5
31.128.7
Auto4.6
Teleop21.9
End1.9
Second
37.42.5
35.938.4
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.9
red by 9.1
8373
#28
28.32.2
31.128.9
Auto5.4
Teleop20.4
End2.4
Third
240
#31
16.42.8
13.616.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.7
End2.3
blue by 1.9
7660
#33
18.42.0
21.019.0
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed