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Red161
86257.4
656625.5
6637.3
Blue118
526313.1
555522.6
5144.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136956080120160180161118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
27Coral scored#13
96Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#8
6Processor points18
20Net points32
26Algae points50
122Total teleop98
Reef
11L4#4
9L3#5
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points0
161Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#1
57.41.7
53.054.7
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End8.4
red by 13.1
51
#7
44.31.5
43.745.3
Auto6.2
Teleop32.0
End6.1
Second
66
#18
37.31.7
32.934.6
Auto6.8
Teleop27.5
End3.0
red by 14.7
5555
#24
22.61.5
21.122.6
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Third
6566
#26
25.51.7
20.422.1
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5
red by 12.5
5263
#39
13.11.5
11.513.1
Auto1.3
Teleop9.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned