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Red181
24749.2
656625.5
661551.3
Blue87
556723.9
766018.4
722029.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148925020018187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+74Teleop
+88Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +67
26Coral scored#14
95Coral points50
5Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
30Processor points12
16Net points12
46Algae points24
141Total teleop74
Reef
11L4#4
6L3#4
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
18Cage & park4
18Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +94
6Foul points0
181Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#17
51.30.9
47.448.3
Auto8.5
Teleop41.1
End1.7
red by 21.5
29.80.2
30.530.3
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End0.8
Second
247
#4
49.20.8
45.746.5
Auto6.0
Teleop35.1
End8.1
red by 25.3
5567
#15
23.90.2
24.524.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End7.1
Third
6566
#26
25.50.8
22.122.9
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5
red by 7.2
7660
#33
18.40.2
19.018.8
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End3.0