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Red80
872828.4
516722.8
477933.8
Blue98
652828.8
634423.9
569520.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038240601201401608098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#14
31Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
49Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
80Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#23
33.80.3
34.133.8
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End4.8
red by 5.0
28.80.2
29.029.2
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End5.0
Second
8728
#14
28.40.3
28.728.4
Auto4.6
Teleop21.9
End1.9
red by 4.5
6344
#13
23.90.2
24.224.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End7.0
Third
5167
#11
22.80.3
23.122.8
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.3
red by 2.7
20.10.2
20.320.5
Auto3.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4