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Red200
86257.4
6637.3
776961.3
Blue125
1034928.5
661843.4
817929.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17710750150200250200125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+43Teleop
+69Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points13
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
31Coral scored#24
113Coral points85
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
135Total teleop109
Reef
17L4#11
8L3#8
8L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#32
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +75
6Foul points0
200Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.8
59.159.8
Auto13.1
Teleop37.6
End10.6
red by 17.9
6618
#12
43.40.4
42.843.2
Auto8.1
Teleop33.6
End1.8
Second
862
#1
57.40.8
55.155.9
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End8.4
red by 28.2
8179
#27
29.20.4
28.528.9
Auto3.1
Teleop24.5
End1.5
Third
66
#18
37.30.8
35.035.8
Auto6.8
Teleop27.5
End3.0
red by 8.8
28.50.4
27.828.2
Auto4.2
Teleop20.6
End3.6