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Red126
440537.4
918221.2
5144.3
Blue150
24749.2
656625.5
661551.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131147100120140160180200126150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
29Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +18
17Coral scored#20
61Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
93Total teleop111
Reef
8L4#10
7L3#6
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +16
4Cage & park20
4Total endgame20
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
126Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#7
44.30.2
44.945.1
Auto6.2
Teleop32.0
End6.1
blue by 7.0
6615
#17
51.30.5
48.348.8
Auto8.5
Teleop41.1
End1.7
Second
37.40.2
38.038.3
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.9
blue by 11.7
247
#4
49.20.5
46.547.0
Auto6.0
Teleop35.1
End8.1
Third
9182
#34
21.20.2
21.822.0
Auto5.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
blue by 4.3
6566
#26
25.50.5
22.923.3
Auto3.1
Teleop19.9
End2.5