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Red129
1034928.5
661843.4
817929.2
Blue104
364136.8
837328.3
549824.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11498406080140160129104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
22Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#13
59Coral points46
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
24Processor points12
20Net points20
44Algae points32
103Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#4
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
129Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#12
43.40.6
43.243.8
Auto8.1
Teleop33.6
End1.8
red by 6.7
3641
#10
36.80.3
36.436.8
Auto7.2
Teleop24.4
End5.2
Second
8179
#27
29.20.6
28.929.6
Auto3.1
Teleop24.5
End1.5
red by 0.9
8373
#28
28.30.3
27.928.3
Auto5.4
Teleop20.4
End2.4
Third
28.50.6
28.228.8
Auto4.2
Teleop20.6
End3.6
red by 3.6
5498
#20
24.90.3
24.524.9
Auto3.7
Teleop20.7
End0.4