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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11415250100200250119133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points20
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +15
13Coral scored#19
48Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
12Processor points12
8Net points4
20Algae points16
68Total teleop83
Reef
8L4#8
3L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points8
119Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.2
48.949.1
Auto17.1
Teleop26.7
End5.7
blue by 11.4
60.90.3
61.461.1
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
Second
217
#12
39.90.2
39.339.5
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
blue by 6.3
46.20.3
46.746.4
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
Third
9208
#25
21.40.2
20.821.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.3
blue by 9.9
288
#30
31.30.3
31.831.5
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0