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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11415150100200250137146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points23
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +12
14Coral scored#16
50Coral points58
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
12Processor points24
20Net points12
32Algae points36
82Total teleop94
Reef
5L4#10
6L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +9
6Foul points12
137Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.4
49.149.5
Auto17.1
Teleop26.7
End5.7
blue by 11.4
60.90.2
61.160.9
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
Second
217
#12
39.90.4
39.539.9
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
blue by 6.3
46.20.2
46.446.2
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
Third
9208
#25
21.40.4
21.021.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.3
blue by 9.9
288
#30
31.30.2
31.531.3
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0