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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions838250607090100110120101119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+40
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +9
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points22
13Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +31
12Coral scored#18
42Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
62Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#9
2L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#28
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
101Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#12
39.92.1
21.924.0
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
red by 2.4
3875
#10
37.52.2
28.230.5
Auto4.1
Teleop31.9
End1.6
Second
37.41.3
27.728.9
Auto10.9
Teleop18.1
End8.3
red by 2.9
34.53.7
23.827.5
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End1.2
Third
5056
#27
23.71.3
21.422.7
Auto2.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
blue by 7.6
9758
#15
31.32.5
22.324.8
Auto3.8
Teleop26.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed