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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706860809010099109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+2Teleop
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +1
16Coral scored#14
59Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
79Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
99Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.21.5
22.924.4
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
red by 12.5
33.72.2
29.631.8
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End8.3
Second
9208
#25
21.42.5
27.229.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.3
red by 1.3
9227
#11
20.13.6
18.822.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Third
5702
#32
15.01.5
13.314.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.9
blue by 3.5
7814
#20
18.62.2
12.815.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned