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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7177020406010012014069104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
51Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
69Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#18
31.30.5
27.827.3
Auto3.8
Teleop24.9
End2.6
blue by 8.6
217
#12
39.91.7
24.626.3
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
Second
8427
#22
24.60.8
18.317.5
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.5
red by 3.2
9208
#25
21.41.7
27.529.2
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.3
Third
4325
#19
22.50.5
17.917.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.1
red by 4.0
7814
#20
18.61.0
15.316.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed