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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7973506070901007581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
12Coral scored#16
42Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
66Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
75Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9566
#26
25.20.9
19.518.6
Auto5.3
Teleop18.6
End1.3
blue by 6.1
9758
#15
31.30.4
23.222.8
Auto3.8
Teleop26.8
End0.7
Second
5056
#27
23.70.9
23.622.7
Auto2.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
red by 8.7
5462
#29
15.00.6
20.620.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Third
5702
#32
15.00.9
16.515.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.9
red by 0.4
5182
#28
14.60.4
15.815.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed