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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89109050150200152105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+57Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +40
20Coral scored#16
72Coral points56
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
18Processor points6
28Net points16
46Algae points22
118Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#3
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
152Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.24.1
30.534.6
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
blue by 14.7
60.90.2
51.852.0
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
Second
31.84.1
23.427.6
Auto6.4
Teleop23.4
End2.1
red by 0.5
288
#30
31.30.3
18.819.1
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Third
216
#24
23.36.9
21.027.9
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End0.6
red by 3.2
9106
#33
20.10.3
19.720.0
Auto2.4
Teleop15.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned