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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7678406010012075115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+44
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +40
11Coral scored#23
41Coral points81
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
59Total teleop99
Reef
4L4#11
4L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#30
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
75Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#13
36.20.2
30.730.5
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End7.0
blue by 10.0
46.22.6
34.637.2
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
Second
5056
#27
23.70.1
22.722.6
Auto2.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
blue by 7.6
9758
#15
31.32.6
22.825.4
Auto3.8
Teleop26.8
End0.7
Third
5182
#28
14.60.1
15.415.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 1.2
6098
#31
15.92.6
9.612.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed