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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6210605015032131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+71
Endgame+93
Fouls+99
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +50
4Coral scored#11
15Coral points41
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
19Total teleop69
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +99
0Foul points6
32Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.8
24.823.0
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End0.6
blue by 26.8
49.54.2
43.247.4
Auto17.1
Teleop26.7
End5.7
Second
5462
#29
15.03.1
20.016.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 24.9
217
#12
39.94.2
26.330.5
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
Third
9753
#35
3.03.1
14.911.8
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End0.7
blue by 19.5
4325
#19
22.52.5
17.420.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned