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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909240608010012014016018012797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+4Teleop
+16Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +18
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points52
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
88Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#9
6L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
14Foul points0
127Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#12
39.93.7
35.439.2
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
blue by 6.3
46.21.1
37.038.1
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
Second
36.73.7
25.329.0
Auto2.7
Teleop31.1
End2.8
red by 9.3
7174
#23
27.31.7
20.622.3
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.9
Third
3936
#14
25.52.4
16.318.7
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End2.1
red by 1.7
5056
#27
23.71.1
22.723.8
Auto2.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed