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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671225010015020064109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points33
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +12
7Coral scored#10
24Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
38Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points2
64Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#13
36.20.2
30.530.3
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End7.0
blue by 13.3
49.50.4
42.843.2
Auto17.1
Teleop26.7
End5.7
Second
9106
#33
20.10.2
19.419.2
Auto2.4
Teleop15.1
End2.6
blue by 17.2
37.40.2
30.831.0
Auto10.9
Teleop18.1
End8.3
Third
7814
#20
18.60.1
16.015.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 15.1
33.70.2
30.030.2
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned