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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866102040801001201407836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +42
7Coral scored#2
26Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
48Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
12Foul points12
78Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#10
37.50.4
33.032.6
Auto4.1
Teleop31.9
End1.6
red by 14.8
22.72.0
23.021.0
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End0.6
Second
5227
#16
20.00.4
19.519.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End2.7
red by 4.1
6098
#31
15.92.0
12.210.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End0.5
Third
7762
#21
18.50.7
16.916.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.3
red by 3.5
5702
#32
15.02.0
15.213.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed