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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13171050100150200158124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+28Teleop
+40Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points13
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
20Coral scored#22
73Coral points80
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
109Total teleop98
Reef
9L4#11
7L3#5
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points6
158Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.92.9
51.954.8
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
red by 26.5
34.54.8
25.029.9
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End1.2
Second
217
#12
39.94.9
30.535.4
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
red by 7.2
244
#7
32.72.9
30.633.5
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End2.2
Third
9758
#15
31.32.9
25.428.3
Auto3.8
Teleop26.8
End0.7
Level
288
#30
31.34.8
13.718.5
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed