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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12260501001502007236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+32Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
11Coral scored#5
40Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
50Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
72Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.54.6
47.442.8
Auto17.1
Teleop26.7
End5.7
red by 24.9
8427
#22
24.63.5
18.514.9
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.5
Second
31.82.8
27.224.4
Auto6.4
Teleop23.4
End2.1
red by 11.7
9227
#11
20.13.5
21.117.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Third
9208
#25
21.44.6
23.819.2
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.3
red by 6.8
5182
#28
14.62.1
15.313.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed