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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103620501508322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+59Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +48
11Coral scored#3
38Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
58Total teleop10
Reef
6L4#1
5L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
83Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.20.3
37.237.0
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
red by 21.0
9566
#26
25.22.4
18.215.8
Auto5.3
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Second
3452
#18
31.30.3
24.123.8
Auto3.8
Teleop24.9
End2.6
red by 8.0
216
#24
23.34.1
22.518.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End0.6
Third
3936
#14
25.50.3
16.516.3
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End2.1
red by 22.5
9753
#35
3.04.1
11.87.7
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed