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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77652040601001208150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+21Teleop
+19Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
13Coral scored#6
48Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
58Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
12Foul points0
81Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.2
25.225.3
Auto2.7
Teleop31.1
End2.8
red by 9.3
7174
#23
27.30.9
21.520.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.9
Second
5056
#27
23.70.1
22.622.7
Auto2.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
red by 1.2
4325
#19
22.50.6
20.019.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.1
Third
21.10.1
19.920.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 6.1
5462
#29
15.00.9
16.916.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed