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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103107050150200250143115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +26
22Coral scored#16
78Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
106Total teleop80
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#3
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
143Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.22.2
38.140.3
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
red by 8.8
37.40.2
33.333.5
Auto10.9
Teleop18.1
End8.3
Second
33.72.2
30.532.7
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End8.3
red by 1.8
31.80.2
25.625.8
Auto6.4
Teleop23.4
End2.1
Third
9106
#33
20.13.2
16.920.1
Auto2.4
Teleop15.1
End2.6
blue by 11.2
3452
#18
31.30.2
27.027.2
Auto3.8
Teleop24.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned