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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1055001506745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+16Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
10Coral scored#5
36Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
40Total teleop26
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
12Foul points6
67Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#12
39.93.3
39.235.8
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
red by 16.6
216
#24
23.31.1
18.817.6
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End0.6
Second
244
#7
32.72.3
34.632.3
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End2.2
red by 11.5
21.10.8
20.319.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Third
5462
#29
15.03.3
15.812.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 0.4
5182
#28
14.60.8
11.811.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed