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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98490204060801201401608160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
60Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points6
81Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#10
37.50.4
31.831.4
Auto4.1
Teleop31.9
End1.6
red by 1.3
5535
#13
36.20.1
30.130.2
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End7.0
Second
244
#7
32.70.4
32.332.0
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End2.2
red by 14.1
7762
#21
18.50.1
17.117.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Third
7174
#23
27.30.5
22.321.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.9
red by 24.4
9753
#35
3.00.1
5.85.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed