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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78870501502002503003504007685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points36
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
51Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
12Foul points2
76Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9758
#15
31.30.4
28.227.8
Auto3.8
Teleop26.8
End0.7
blue by 6.0
37.40.3
33.533.8
Auto10.9
Teleop18.1
End8.3
Second
5227
#16
20.00.4
19.619.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End2.7
blue by 1.1
21.10.3
19.519.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Third
5702
#32
15.00.4
15.915.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.9
blue by 5.1
9106
#33
20.10.4
20.120.5
Auto2.4
Teleop15.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned