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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94750501502007687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#17
22Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
36Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#7
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points0
76Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.52.6
37.334.7
Auto17.1
Teleop26.7
End5.7
red by 18.2
3452
#18
31.30.5
26.627.1
Auto3.8
Teleop24.9
End2.6
Second
7174
#23
27.32.6
30.127.5
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.9
red by 8.8
7814
#20
18.60.5
15.015.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Third
5182
#28
14.61.5
16.715.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 3.9
7762
#21
18.50.8
26.227.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed