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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7089050100150138106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points9
26Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +23
21Coral scored#13
76Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
108Total teleop85
Reef
10L4#7
7L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
138Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.23.8
24.428.2
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
red by 6.3
217
#12
39.91.4
24.025.4
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
Second
36.76.3
17.123.4
Auto2.7
Teleop31.1
End2.8
blue by 0.9
3875
#10
37.50.9
30.531.3
Auto4.1
Teleop31.9
End1.6
Third
9566
#26
25.23.8
16.019.8
Auto5.3
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 10.2
5702
#32
15.00.9
14.815.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed