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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76940501502008962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+15Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points6
18Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points34
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
55Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
89Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#13
36.22.5
22.925.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End7.0
red by 4.9
288
#30
31.32.1
23.221.1
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Second
31.81.5
21.723.2
Auto6.4
Teleop23.4
End2.1
red by 9.1
22.71.2
26.124.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End0.6
Third
4325
#19
22.51.5
13.915.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.1
red by 2.4
9227
#11
20.12.1
22.420.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed