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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048405015020011083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+19Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +30
14Coral scored#10
51Coral points37
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
18Processor points6
8Net points4
26Algae points10
77Total teleop47
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
110Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.5
49.850.3
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
red by 27.3
33.70.3
31.831.5
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End8.3
Second
37.40.5
28.929.4
Auto10.9
Teleop18.1
End8.3
red by 15.9
9208
#25
21.40.5
29.729.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.3
Third
9753
#35
3.00.8
13.113.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End0.7
blue by 11.7
5182
#28
14.60.3
15.214.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned