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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98765015011379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+16Teleop
+28Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points45
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#5
12Processor points0
8Net points20
20Algae points20
70Total teleop65
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points0
113Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.8
33.434.1
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End8.3
red by 9.1
8427
#22
24.60.0
22.122.1
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.5
Second
5056
#27
23.70.8
24.725.5
Auto2.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
red by 1.0
22.70.0
21.020.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End0.6
Third
216
#24
23.31.0
20.721.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End0.6
red by 3.3
5227
#16
20.00.0
19.219.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed