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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3797020608012014016029120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+59
Endgame+71
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points16
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +55
3Coral scored#14
10Coral points51
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
10Total teleop65
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#7
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#4
6Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
0Foul points20
29Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.8
19.819.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End2.1
blue by 15.1
5535
#13
36.21.3
31.032.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End7.0
Second
5702
#32
15.00.8
15.514.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.9
blue by 19.4
34.51.3
32.734.0
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End1.2
Third
9753
#35
3.01.0
5.94.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End0.7
blue by 22.5
3936
#14
25.51.1
20.021.1
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned