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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708905010015020083119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+18
Endgame+32
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
58Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
10Cage & park24
10Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points4
83Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#30
31.31.7
27.429.0
Auto5.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
blue by 6.0
37.42.7
33.836.5
Auto10.9
Teleop18.1
End8.3
Second
4325
#19
22.51.4
21.322.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.1
blue by 4.8
7174
#23
27.33.3
21.825.1
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.9
Third
6098
#31
15.91.4
14.015.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End0.5
blue by 5.6
9208
#25
21.43.3
18.621.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned