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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10913350100150200145162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+9Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +19
30Coral scored#25
109Coral points90
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
129Total teleop110
Reef
11L4#11
9L3#6
8L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points14
145Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#7
32.72.6
32.034.6
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End2.2
blue by 28.2
60.91.8
53.755.5
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
Second
9758
#15
31.32.6
27.830.4
Auto3.8
Teleop26.8
End0.7
blue by 0.5
31.81.8
26.428.1
Auto6.4
Teleop23.4
End2.1
Third
9566
#26
25.22.6
20.022.6
Auto5.3
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 5.1
9227
#11
20.12.2
16.618.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned