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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions749220406010012014016092124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +16
14Coral scored#18
52Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
76Total teleop92
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
92Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.7
32.032.7
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End1.2
blue by 11.7
46.21.7
40.342.0
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
Second
22.70.5
20.521.0
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End0.6
blue by 1.9
8427
#22
24.62.3
19.822.1
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.5
Third
5182
#28
14.60.5
11.011.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 3.9
7814
#20
18.61.7
15.317.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed