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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7011905010015020084108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
59Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
84Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.5
32.934.4
Auto2.7
Teleop31.1
End2.8
blue by 3.2
217
#12
39.90.8
35.836.7
Auto6.9
Teleop28.5
End4.4
Second
9208
#25
21.41.5
17.118.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.3
blue by 14.8
5535
#13
36.20.8
30.231.0
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End7.0
Third
7762
#21
18.51.5
17.218.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 15.1
33.70.6
32.733.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned