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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8578020406010012014016011593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +14
13Coral scored#15
47Coral points53
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
24Processor points12
24Net points16
48Algae points28
95Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
8Cage & park0
8Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
115Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#10
37.52.3
31.433.7
Auto4.1
Teleop31.9
End1.6
red by 5.7
31.80.6
25.826.4
Auto6.4
Teleop23.4
End2.1
Second
216
#24
23.33.1
17.620.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End0.6
blue by 0.4
5056
#27
23.70.6
24.124.7
Auto2.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
Third
4325
#19
22.52.3
19.021.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.1
red by 6.7
6098
#31
15.90.6
13.414.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed