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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1258650100150200157102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points12
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
89Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#8
11L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
14Foul points0
157Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.92.1
55.557.5
Auto11.9
Teleop40.0
End9.0
red by 23.4
3875
#10
37.51.2
33.735.0
Auto4.1
Teleop31.9
End1.6
Second
46.22.1
42.044.1
Auto11.6
Teleop33.5
End1.1
red by 14.9
3452
#18
31.31.2
26.427.6
Auto3.8
Teleop24.9
End2.6
Third
5182
#28
14.62.1
11.513.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 5.5
9106
#33
20.11.5
20.522.1
Auto2.4
Teleop15.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsEarned